Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | About to Set Sail | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Pretty Sister | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mika Ella Pika | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Saint | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Credo | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Mimi | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | This Gray Mischiev | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Disco Ball | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Her Number | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show Time | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guanare | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aaron | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Academic | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clearly My Star | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Windy Ice | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nova Nova Nova | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Star Tout | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mojane Metal | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Provoker | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Just Simple | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cause We Can | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rainy Day | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Runninginthemoney | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Dollars | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regatta Bay | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Totally Addicted | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Wishing | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hooray Austin | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gobot | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joey’s Lightening | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Showers | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mambo Queen | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storms of Life | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Reynita | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Nancy S | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yuma’s Shadow | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reimagine | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Stormy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | McKinzie Magic | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lofty Heights | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Double Edge Sword | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charco | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocketeightyeight | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runnin Munnin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astrologysprotege | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Briterdayzahead | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We Miss Arlington | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Premium | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Fairlane | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Castle Run | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Razorcat | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Start Out | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Wolf | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unitas | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tan Chulo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Customer | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Benji Star | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Jude | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smash It | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bron and Brow | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Achromedoutcat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sounds Like Power | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doctored Deal | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Safarinfas | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petitfor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.