Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | About to Set Sail | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Credo | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mika Ella Pika | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Pretty Sister | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Saint | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Mimi | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | This Gray Mischiev | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Disco Ball | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Her Number | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show Time | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Academic | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aaron | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guanare | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clearly My Star | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Star Tout | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nova Nova Nova | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Provoker | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Just Simple | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cause We Can | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mojane Metal | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Windy Ice | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rainy Day | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Runninginthemoney | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Dollars | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Into Wishing | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Totally Addicted | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hooray Austin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joey’s Lightening | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gobot | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regatta Bay | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mambo Queen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storms of Life | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yuma’s Shadow | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Nancy S | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Reynita | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reimagine | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lofty Heights | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Stormy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Showers | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | McKinzie Magic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Double Edge Sword | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charco | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | We Miss Arlington | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Briterdayzahead | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Premium | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Astrologysprotege | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocketeightyeight | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runnin Munnin | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Castle Run | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Razorcat | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tan Chulo | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Wolf | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unitas | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Start Out | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Fairlane | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cool Customer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smash It | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Benji Star | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Jude | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sounds Like Power | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bron and Brow | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Safarinfas | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doctored Deal | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Petitfor | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Achromedoutcat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.