Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bright Spark | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gewurztraminer | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Noble Knight | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Underdressed | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Excel Calculator | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drum Roll Please | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | D Day Reunion | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J T’s Imagination | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stellar Vino | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Swinger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dual Monarchy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nicholai | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Chill | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Risk It | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Storm | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orange Diablo | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Map to the Stars | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heavenlyconveyance | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Booth | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tejano Twist | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Book Smart | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Durante | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Sweep | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hola Joey | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Senior Officer | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zero Sugar | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hymn | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tre Italiani | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Power | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faust | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rowdy Riot | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Title Contender | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drill Baby | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Pig Trail Overnight S.) – Pig Trail Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catching Freedom | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Batten Down | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Systemic Change | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Chic | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Otello | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Archie the Giza | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Run Classic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildatlanticstorm | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thoughtthatcounts | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Prestigio | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbone | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ninja Warrior | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Henro | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barksdale | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devil’s Tower | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vale | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whitley | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bossofmi | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cattle Baron | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bemis | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wolf Tooth | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makeshift’s Legacy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pearcy Road | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arkansas Dave | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amore | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Bourbon | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arco Thunder | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Roku Nana | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Munnings Challenge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Syndicate | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Fairlane | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Market Runner | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Machado | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hidalgo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orange Road | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hillbilly Daydream | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Tech | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Honeybee S.) – Honeybee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Explora | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taken by the Wind | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Search Party | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sneaky Good | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Newtown Pike | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knickleandime | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Counting Stars | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Macy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Is Free | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Glide | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gethsemane | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Banksy’s | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Effort | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dragones | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fleek | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Fancy Pants | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Owie | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Raccoon | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Jo Jo | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Vino | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prime Suspect | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Rebel S.) – Rebel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blackout Time | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Litmus Test | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Tactic | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bravaro | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Class President | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Soldier N Diplomat | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strategic Risk | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rancho Santa Fe | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey’s to Blame | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time for Music | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Like a Diamond | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Signdsealddeliverd | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whispering Charm | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Breaker Wave | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bossa Dama | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cutenclassy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sky High Angel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artemis Sparkles | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s My Last Call | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackwood | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stevie Kicks | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Free Drop Nana | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C Note Gia | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
