Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Well Accustomed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Sailor | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Country | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roberts Revenge | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tarkington Girl | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Last Half | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Shot Louise | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Austyn Jane | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clearly Majestic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Half | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deal of Faith | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blondate | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bearcat | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Ride | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catchin Drama | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Velveteen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kisses for Cooper | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torrey Pine | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not Today Boss | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mutually Exclusive | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whateveryousay | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waitinonabomb | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cruising the Town | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Light | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Connection | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starmetal | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Festivo | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Two Black | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischief Ride | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Straitshootinlarry | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunset Skip | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | He’s Exaggerating | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Respectheconnect | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sultan’s Pride | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pardoned | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Get Trae | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayouland Red | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parole Drama | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atchafalaya Sunset | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rojo Rita | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betty’s Dance | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prayforthewicked | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tempting Eve | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Is Olivia | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heylookmeover | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kazoom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Props | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Key Man | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Standard Deduction | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Empire | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Impavido | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Orville’s Map | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mor Cheese Please | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | September Silver | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sabi | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Write Off Jerry | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calibrate | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risk Manager | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liar’s Poker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contemplation | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Next Level | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | National Eclipse | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Ruta | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr McGregor | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Escape | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Flowersforshantell | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Blaze | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Front and Silver | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deal’em and Weep | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | April’s Gem | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marina’s Gold | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miz Jameson | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Tourist | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talksalot | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
