Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tapalo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belly Up | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Old Nine (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Everydayissaturday | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhythem On Stage | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Georges | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Cami | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allihies | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pocket Venus | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jensco | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thatsalrightmama | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’tdealwithit | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Idessia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cyprus Moon | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aleramo (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shamrockin | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miz Clubcali | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giggle Giggle | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strange Addiction | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tommy Norris | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fionello | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Melodee | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allequin Summer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fuego Del Sol | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Gift | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Adverse Selection | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suntory Time | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jennys Wine Girl | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Chaos | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warm Reception | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tis Sunrise | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sally’s Wish | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danzig Til Dawn | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mperfection | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Positive Times | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Jack | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galloping Ghost | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matt At Five | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Step Beyond | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Man Joe Roldan | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omission | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | City Exile (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Point | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wizard of Westwood | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amplitude | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Living Life | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Joint Venture | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Palisades | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leyas Candy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duran | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feel the Magic | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Resemblance | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Ride | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rimprotector | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pass the Baton | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silly Rabbit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt Supremacy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six Magpies (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad to the Bones | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Djoser | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Precision (GB) | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapit Dynasty | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spun Not Stirred | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Do It for Dave | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.