Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Derz Smart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Robert’s Moon | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tethered Soul | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Set for Life | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gaelicheartofgold | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tyson’s Delivery | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Genieinabridle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch Your Tone | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Hay Paula | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Ransom | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ribbonsinherhair | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mainstream Sellout | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majorca | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lannister | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Swagger | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bald Cypress | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Atlas | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Upshot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Juniper’s Jubilee | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rerun Table | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | They Got Curry | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Campaign Mischief | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barbados Bulldog | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlene’s Spirit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Old Bay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Cache | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Audibly | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stress Reliever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fitness | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nobody’s Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Conniver S.) – Conniver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Takethemoneyhoney | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You’re the One | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dwelling Legacy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isabella’s Glory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Destination | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Grayson’s Girl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Not For Love S.) – Not For Love S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quint’s Brew | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Kingdom | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suremeanttoobe | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | S S Sinatra | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Ride | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | All the Hardways | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Bruiser | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brighty | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party With Smarty | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Punch It Margaret | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Tha Judge | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.