Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Booked Clubhouse | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Parnelli Jones | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King’s Ride | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sirnami | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carl Erskine | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tight Dally | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | County Line Kid | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Another Swing | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scorching Hot | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cotton Mouth | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Flag | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simple Song | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Comedy Town | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Running With Chaos | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For All Mankind | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pali Kitten | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Last Straw | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baladi | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Will Happen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Umbralle | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon and Ginger | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Heat | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surfin’ U. S. A. | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Bay | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (B. Wayne Hughes Beholder Mile S. Presented By Fanduel) – B. Wayne Hughes Beholder Mile S. Presented By Fanduel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Splendora | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simply Joking | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Om N Joy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bless the Broken | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nafisa | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Move | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vantastic | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cathal (IRE) | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Happy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ah Jeez | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One of These Days (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dakota Country | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Memory | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Civil Liberty | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Shreve | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Embry Show | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Tracks | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decisive Win | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crude Velocity | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duke Silver | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gallatin | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie’s Heart | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Sasha | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Society U | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Somerset West | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jasmine | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Padel Addict (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dats Ms. Blame | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Everything Good | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Decisive Deception | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prove Your Point | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Whatastarr (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maddog | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Medjugorje | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banzai Betty | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (San Felipe S. Presented By Dk Horse) – San Felipe S. Presented By Dk Horse
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brant | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Happy | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Potente | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secured Freedom | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Start the Ride | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robusta | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Fritz | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Potente | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gas Me Up | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Almendares (GB) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Astronomer | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final Boss | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabo Spirit | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Bago | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino At San Manuel) – Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino At San Manuel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 98 | Skippylongstocking | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Touch | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Getaway Car | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Westwood | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vodka Vodka | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | British Isles | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mammoth | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Infinitum | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warm Sun and Brew | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King of Dragons | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Dolce | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freeport Joe | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Council | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minister Shane | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keithing Thunder | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highplainsdrifter | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speed of Elon | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.