Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gena B | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Sugar | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Devine One | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fusion | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jordan’s Love | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baby Sassicaia | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Furry Fox | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itwillbefun | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Signifying Nothing | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Widdershins | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Collect the Data | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Heart | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Walk With Me | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Angels | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Princess | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Class | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fateful Lightning | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roger Roger | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pop Goes the Wiz | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frostelle | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marble Hall | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crude Intentions | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mach Schnell | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty One Red | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calvary Hill | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eye On the Ball | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pilot Knob | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gallant One | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Commander | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Toxic Gray | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Garamond | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ranger Battalion | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soze | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Native | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacrosanct | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | House United | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curvino | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kavanaugh | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Empire | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senegal | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J J’s Ranger | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moon Gate | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ah Ca Ira | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Complicated | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Santagata | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gregorian Solo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moonlit Weekend | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amity Island | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dolce Sera | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Autumn’s Turn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Danneel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | That’s Funny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.