Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bon Temps | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taptastic | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mingo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dawn At Normandy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mula | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Devil | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barker | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pride’s Prince | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mirage | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lottery Win | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | After Party | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Bro | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Attersee | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Moroni | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aerate | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Munny | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Intangible | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Julia | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Auntie Vodka | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka Katt | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Start Her Up | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fresh Out | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamondintherough | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cusp of Mischief | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous M | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Payne | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lundberg | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princetown | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nasty Habit | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gunflash | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Xperiment | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chrome’s Echo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devils Fork | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Shoes | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Great Barrier | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holding Pattern | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dinner At Crumpies | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reveille Valley | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Partyinthestreets | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mansoura | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jet Pack | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icy River | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balladry | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jeopardy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tartaria | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Laura Branigan | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Singing Emma | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Argan | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mercy Warren | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance My Way | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fireball Birdie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Truth | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yellow Brick | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lear | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mazing Mark | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Mischief | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magna Tap | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Mor Story | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cobblestone Bridge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stars and Stripes | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Runner Charlie | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Cat | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classify | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tracking Error | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dive Bomber | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Gun | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Strike | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caroom’s Croupier | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Baby D | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moneta | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rose Street | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Vision of Hope | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tallahassee | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stellabellarose | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roots Tootn | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doris J | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pirulita | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back Nine | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trump’s Diamonds | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Praise Paulina | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.