Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mula | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barker | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bon Temps | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dawn At Normandy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taptastic | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mingo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Devil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lottery Win | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pride’s Prince | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Attersee | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mirage | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Bro | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | After Party | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Munny | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Moroni | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aerate | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Intangible | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Auntie Vodka | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamondintherough | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Julia | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fresh Out | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka Katt | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Start Her Up | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cusp of Mischief | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous M | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Payne | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lundberg | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princetown | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nasty Habit | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunflash | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Xperiment | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chrome’s Echo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holding Pattern | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Shoes | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devils Fork | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Great Barrier | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reveille Valley | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mansoura | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dinner At Crumpies | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Partyinthestreets | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jeopardy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icy River | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mercy Warren | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tartaria | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Argan | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Laura Branigan | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balladry | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance My Way | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Pack | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Singing Emma | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fireball Birdie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Truth | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Mischief | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yellow Brick | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lear | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cobblestone Bridge | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magna Tap | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Mor Story | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mazing Mark | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keen Cat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stars and Stripes | 0.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dive Bomber | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Strike | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Runner Charlie | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classify | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tracking Error | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Gun | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caroom’s Croupier | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moneta | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Vision of Hope | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Baby D | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back Nine | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roots Tootn | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tallahassee | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Praise Paulina | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pirulita | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doris J | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trump’s Diamonds | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rose Street | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stellabellarose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.