Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Geometry | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Promissio | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gem Mint Ten | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empire’s Classic | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Salute | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sketchy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Irish Element | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brahms Mendelssohn | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Next Trick | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stage Run | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silversmith | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Trigger Cut | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rachel’s Gig | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Tizzy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Mountain | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grandisimo | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Moments | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fincairn | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Not Stirred | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Reign | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cosmo Friday | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tulavia’s World | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Rod Christine | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pantages | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greys Over Bays | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Hearted | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Olivia | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Our Agenda | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gogotiz | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Golly Dolly | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willow in the Wind | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Back | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Julia Street | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Lucky in Love | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Susie’s Loaded | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shangrilama (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shin Jidai (GB) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Bar | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Headed for Om | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Special Flower | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Invincible Molly (GB) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Petite Treat | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tam’s Little Angel | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lamporghini | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dorie Miller | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay in Line | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lavender Love | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ryan’s Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buds N Suds | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Unions | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Windribbon | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Brother | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Big Cheeseola | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Binging | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Habeas | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winds of Freedom | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carol’s Comic | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devil Moon | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Man Child | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | John Metcalfe | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flash of Lightning | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robin Olds | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Filkins | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Resident | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Blame | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Positive Times | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doing Time | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Vengeance | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passion D Oro | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Beeblebrox | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
