Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildfire Princess | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rehearsal (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skatingthroughlife | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nikolina | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Maryann | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rich of Joy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Our Family | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rousing Jewel | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiergarten | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Life | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Rousing Babe | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (San Simeon S.) – San Simeon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sumter | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Genius Jimmy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seal Team (GB) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Oriente (CHI) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quereme Pass (ARG) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Max | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Kai | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Marcus | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Call Paul | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Rocks | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Life | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bro Bro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its a Cinch | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grazed | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maury Wills | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double Jab | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frank Bullitt | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Disko Tribute | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raging Waters | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chromeflash | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz’s Harbor | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynodave | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Soi Ngern | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Dynasty | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charmz Away | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treximo | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmic Trail | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nash for Cash | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Centrodelantero | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Balladeer | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Man Cal | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Choochies | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempus Volat | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Namaron (GER) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deer District | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rastaman Vibe | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Bullingdon | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grogu | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Artisma | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into the Hall | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Moonlight | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Cap | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scary Fast Ride | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oveta’s Hobby | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Balaza | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Great Shaking | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Cowgirl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s No Quant | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Danzing Daisy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Melba Montgomery | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grazeninthegrass | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Conquest Sue | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Furia | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intuitivebynature | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Up for the Hunt | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jackpot Clover | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kool Mariah | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ohmyom | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.