Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mercilesanihilator | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Spice | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Escape Hall | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manhattan Chrome | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Essentially Fast | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miami Kaz | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Munnings Express | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Becca | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howling Wind | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soloshot | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mommasgottagun | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Commuted | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frizzante | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cicciobello | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chelonian | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shared Success | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moment’s Notice | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirteen G’s | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Miller | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Little Birds | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lean Music Machine | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Middle Market | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Givememythememusic | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Killybegs Kid | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Spirited | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monte Avi | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Hero Code | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winegold | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jamaica Redd | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Musume | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Take Me to Londyn | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sabby Sunset | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itwillbefun | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eleni | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Syl’s Pleasure | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jay’s Love | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Caddiemaster | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ez Roll | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solo Dancing | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | E Z Bourbon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kismeholdmethrlme | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oath of Omerta | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Resilient Hero | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Merciless | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shellac | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Ace | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Senor Poncho | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plex | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lough Currane | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chips and Fish | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astern Command | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daw Samaa | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.