Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Honor | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Go Astray | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rafa Junior | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Interlude | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rebellution | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ky’s Law | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Four Guns | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bethel Road | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mannerism | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Cow | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tennessee Waltz | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mas Que Nada | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Foolish Notion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Noah’s Honor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Get the Win | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildly Speedy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amande | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | On the Beam | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liz Loves Shopping | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mimi Willy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballycurrin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Macho Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Renovator | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Noir | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Boss | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mosai | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win Runner | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Funky See Funky Do | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unreachable Star | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finest Gamble | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Squander | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Song of Sarah | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Actress | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wiretapped | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conciliation | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arcana | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | The Coromoto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Phoenix of Wit (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Battle | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mom’s Martini | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheekiest | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Serenity | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bertrille | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Judge Judith | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady River Lily | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Complicated | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleeting Moon | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Answered Prayers | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joyful Justice | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Off the Payroll | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Betty | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Horsing Around | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mezcalera | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah’s Affair | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bembridge Ledge | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Package | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Shy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Esther | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Souffle On Fire | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Annie Goodbody | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corona Princess | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Acheron | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | American Popstar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cairo Comedy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Torch Is Passed | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valued Cajun | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Etendre | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chaplin | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sound of the Beast | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Endrick | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outlaw Country | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Cha Cha | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Contrary | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minty | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shifty | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Being Betty | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riding Pretty | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Afrodita | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malleymoo | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Libban | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jayhawk | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Walter Me Lad | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Border War | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Battle of Dover | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corta Fuego | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jim’s Hope | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rashid | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Space Launch | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carentan | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.