Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Armed N Dangerous | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schrader | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mugatu | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Vibes | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Albert Finnigan | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dats My Pharaoh | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Girl Back Home | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Gift | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hotmessness | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tipmanee | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disney Belle | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campaign Mischief | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Greyline Station | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Biz Whiz | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Bill | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Gray | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Victorious | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock You Babe | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sunflower State | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Esroh | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Centsamilla | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bond’s Belle | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Any Fools Gold | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Instagrand Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rampagius | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenebris | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hittheroadjak | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crab Daddy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smuggler’s Gold | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cadeau d’Argent | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sassafrassness | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greek Heiress | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Notion | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decree and Declare | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Destination | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belle Ofthe Dance | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fabia | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krissi N | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Momentum Files | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brightshininglight | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baltic | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Military Hero | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Upshot | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamsdocometrue | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prado Road | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fear Nothing | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Trip | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Built by Khozan | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galpin Sunday | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | James P Sullivan | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tap Dancin Cowgirl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kilo Road | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love You More | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Q | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Many Kisses | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Jericho | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Easy Days | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bouncer | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Howgreatisnate | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbye Note | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Studlydoright | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karan’s Notion | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bump N Run | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Christmas Spirit | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bjorn | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maupansant | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shot for the Moon | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salvo Trigger | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Grey | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.