Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nineteenth Hole | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Going Nowhere | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shapoval | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Island Paradise | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star of Delhi | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wasting Aces | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beeblebrox | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maul | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 98 | Uffda | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Outrageous | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Fiction | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Scholar | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cee’s the Image | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kelce | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chapter One | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Eye Bungle (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newton | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tap the Gin | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diaghilev | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melismatic (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 98 | Alpine Thunder | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 98 | Oobubbakakayo | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Contrary Chieftain | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischiefs Causeway | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mother’s Prayer | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beef Winslow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kokosan | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | None Above the Law | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baldoro | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cali Cat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Percival | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlit Sonata | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Cavalier | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hotrocket (IRE) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cash Call | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thermal | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificat | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ooty (ARG) | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violeta M (ARG) | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Santa Ana S.) – Santa Ana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mrs. Astor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Lake | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Public Assembly | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take A Breath (GB) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Resolve | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Jessie | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starry Night | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Sienna (ARG) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Joker | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Thousand Miles | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Catalina Cocktail | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cash in Toknight | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Humor | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Miss | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can You Dream | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Lock | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Coin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Riff | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rosa Parks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Kitty Boom | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yoga Master (GB) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miyako | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eiffel | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marian Cross (GB) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tequilaandtherapy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madonna of Loreto | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shared Future | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Helga Brandt (IRE) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
