Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Aficionado | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cisco Kid | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Advice | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tojo’s Mojo | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back East | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fazaro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Azure Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Easy Action | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Lincoln | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shipman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mac Daddy Too | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nancy Made My Day | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midlaner | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Captains | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Buff Gary | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nomowineforyou | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of the Cross | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tongue Tied | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slew of Fortune | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nakimax | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Rhodes | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Bernardini | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pontiffany | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sofster | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burning Embers | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girlfromouterspace | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Always in Play | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shaunnasaprilfool | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J K Strong | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Prayer | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bulma | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezefromtheeast | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breeze Along Belle | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hart of Coupella | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Adios Jersey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Biagio | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twentyeighttothree | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rainy Skies | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Conquest | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twenty One Kid | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carbonite | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Authentic Kingdom | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Dark | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mila Rose | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | House of Magic | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perugia | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Am Rue | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shubagail | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tavria | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leretha | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Byebyejealouseye | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pachelbel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Charm | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Eib Micrphn | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Delight | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess’s Moment | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Center Stage | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alani | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Daze | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Ebo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jeanne Marie | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carousel Queen | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aoife’s Magic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Popthechampagne Ro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sirani | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss M M | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Annmarie | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Megan’s Noel | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Time to Dream | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Everheart | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Onthisharvestmoon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
