Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mink Stole | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toxic Girl | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy’s Gift | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Mesa | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Marie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laugh Like Lucy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She Can Scat | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lu Lu Vaton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Motown Honey | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goldieness | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Philly | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aruma | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mikey’s Song | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creme Caramel | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Swell | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winning Song | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Magnifico | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chartage | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap the Devil | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Sneckdraw | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor for Mandin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Laughing Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Vanilla | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inamorata | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy Girl | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Shore Thing | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ravenite | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quetzal Island | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cap’n Cats | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Barou | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Huirro | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Lou | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walkers Beach | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Beast Master | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mega Charlie | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arak | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cattin | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiempo Perfecto | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | H C Holiday | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time Tested | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Rocket | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Genius | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jigsaw | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Into Hijinks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreaming of Bella | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exciter | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stately Girl | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thisgirlsgotchill | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Eff P T O | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorisia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | South Boundary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Give Her Another | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sevenon | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Attitude | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marelow | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Didn’t It Rain | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia Mavis | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Than Grace | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chance | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Modica | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heat Alert | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inmortal J | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Purrfection | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fluff the Pillow | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Asmodeus | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Conviction | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Motive | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Get Like Mike | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nimmo | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Connection | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Lion | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fully Committed | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Batter Up Bud | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
