Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sand Street | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Wildlife | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Moscato | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Pistolero | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D Coldest | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Liam | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Pact | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love a Fighter | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awree | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Star | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seamus’s Girl | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Custom Ruby | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moneyforwednesday | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thats Unbelievable | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Cute | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Littlebitofaqueen | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mom’s Hands | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delightful Halo | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reimagine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Berkeley | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wosiemaks | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Idea | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lofty Heights | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chapellete | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fern Spirit | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Gray Mischiev | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spicy Italian | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Watering | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cruising the Town | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Safecracker Sue | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit to Inspire | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoochie Boo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ballybay Beauty | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Fortune | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Bit O Storm | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kancancutie | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twenty Four Grand | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Tough Road | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moral Man | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Long Time | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Sohn | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brock’s Boy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lawless Ways | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coboch | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Skip | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Americana | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maki Monarchy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Awakening | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Major Dax | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | E Lion | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D Day Sky | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Rabbit | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky N Lawless | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Spun to Run | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Social Solution | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Metry Mama | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Restless Mind | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Windfall | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Geaux Unified | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Blag’s Mom | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Proton Kitty | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mae’s Majesty | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fulla Wicked Sugar | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Voodoo Lady | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cava de Oro | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jubilate | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come Sail Away | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reaux Day | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lil Bit Forgotten | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brown’s Harmony | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Higgins Boat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldeneye | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point Proven | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin’s Malibu | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West Hollywood | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legalize | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chasing Liberty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emmanuel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neat | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Chat | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pardoned | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perpetual Patience | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Due We Dare | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vega Star | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashes in the Ocean | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Breeze | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roadside Banker | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tincan Cat | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Bet You Wont | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen’s Knight | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.