Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Mo Sense | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Boltoro | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Saranac Lake | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 4 | Legally Lucky | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2B | 5 | What’s to Do | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 7 | Argan | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Salagadoola | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 8 | C. C. Harbor | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Lexus | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highway Seventy | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal B | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back Nine | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazarn | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Menu | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prone to Greatness | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pirulita | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Tizzy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surprising Love | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Googol Joke | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Ain’t Poppn | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City of Oscars | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Society | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Bid | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Mischief | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Quote | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Lapatourel Overnight S.) – Lapatourel Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peignoir | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seraphia | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Fish | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Just My Heels | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Task | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Time Andbeyond | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Max Dot Socks | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holus Bolus | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getoutyourwallet | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Mack | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Street | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled’s Heir | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battleoftheravine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Peel | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jimmies Big Day | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eternally Grateful | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Soulfire | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come Out Fighting | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flipping Fish | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racarino | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Campfire Creed | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Holdem | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Lover | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Ronnie | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cravensworth | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dreamofyou | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashburner | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Razor Tap | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookin At Mac | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Athletic Like | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bayou Flyer | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midshakin | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie Paper | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Onyx Outlaw | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | City of Angels | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Oracle | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stoke the Fire | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chaperone | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Major Dax | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weaponized | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Moon | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lebombo | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Promissione | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Essex H.) – Essex H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skippylongstocking | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Accelerize | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | San Siro | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doc Sullivan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mackman | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gould’s Gold | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Duval | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Again | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tizmarkus | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gettinby | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Sanders | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Jet | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lord of Rhymes | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gee No Hollander | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Four O Nine | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bettys Cash | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossofmi | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Razorback Army | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Only a Dream | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Vino | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Commerce | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sound of Victory | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hayes Strike | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speightster Red | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taillights | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ringside | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Exton | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lea Me Be | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mowins | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Remember the Fear | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reveille Valley | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Castle Gap | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.