Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Capital Connection | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nyquist Frequency | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Historic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Circle | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedstorm | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McKinsense | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ledbetter | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bamtwentyklater | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Costly | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catching Heat | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Look Back | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promisemeanempire | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Revelant | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Teatotal | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quibble | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Butterfly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizntshelovely | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanett | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Over Choctaw | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Passion | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up the Creek | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Well Aware | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Collected Glory | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Riobella | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Abitibi | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Tartaria | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Highly Creative | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | St. Albans Raid | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Smart With Heart | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Rodeo Star | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | First Hill | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | With Kindness | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Honed In | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Words | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suitefourfourthree | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nyad | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raging Current | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ye Ole Joker | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | I’m Wide Awake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plausible Denile | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sara’s Shaman | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Got Thunder | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Sterling | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go West | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Healing Waters | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caliente Star | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lassie My Girl | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Woopig | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Strategy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arr Piratetreasure | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Principal Anita | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Dreamer | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Astrid | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Courtney Fay | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Untamed Moment | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gin’s Beach Road | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bundle | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crimsonite | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chaching Chaching | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ensorcell | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McKinzie’s Glory | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Slayer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Social Climber | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingscliff | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wadi Al Kouf | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Wild Posse | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Fuzz | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss You Mo | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into Battle | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Astro Beau | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.