Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Capital Connection | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nyquist Frequency | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Circle | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Historic | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speedstorm | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McKinsense | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ledbetter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bamtwentyklater | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Look Back | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promisemeanempire | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Revelant | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catching Heat | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Teatotal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Costly | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quibble | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shanett | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Passion | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Well Aware | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up the Creek | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Over Choctaw | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizntshelovely | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Butterfly | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Highly Creative | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Abitibi | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Tartaria | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Riobella | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Collected Glory | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | First Hill | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | St. Albans Raid | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Rodeo Star | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smart With Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Suitefourfourthree | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Words | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | With Kindness | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nyad | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Honed In | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ye Ole Joker | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raging Current | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sara’s Shaman | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Wide Awake | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Got Thunder | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Sterling | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plausible Denile | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go West | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Healing Waters | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caliente Star | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lassie My Girl | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Woopig | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Strategy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arr Piratetreasure | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Principal Anita | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Astrid | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Courtney Fay | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Dreamer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Untamed Moment | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gin’s Beach Road | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crimsonite | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bundle | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chaching Chaching | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McKinzie’s Glory | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ensorcell | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Wild Posse | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingscliff | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Social Climber | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Astro Beau | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wadi Al Kouf | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into Battle | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss You Mo | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Fuzz | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Slayer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.