Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irish Guard | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | God’s Country | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mandatory Mission | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Kid of Mine | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pearcy Road | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Hamazing | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bedazzlingstrategy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fosforito | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yancopin | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unload | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Man | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camp Daddy | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tahoe Run | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Best | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cobblestone Bridge | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ga Mo Tak (CHI) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hightail Cowboy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She Called | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nandina | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Her Number | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Bluff | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Tornado | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Samantha | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Volta | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximum to Excel | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barb | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Favorite Day | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Mark | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drill Baby | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Wish | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chad Allan | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Title Contender | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rabbit Hound | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drum Roll Please | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettera | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Paper | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inca Empire | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebelious | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawks Creek | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brittany’s Dream | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard to Fathom | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Face Value | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Arky Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | French Knight | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phenomenal Dream | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higginsville | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Gunner | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Moon | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Cyclone | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Taken On the Run | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Papa Yo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baxter | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pike Place | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shepherd | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Determinedly | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Chic | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight West | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Protonic Power | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nasty Habit | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eglise | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eli’s Promise | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous M | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lundberg | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aaron | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiringo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frack Baby | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Matron S.) – Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Haulin Ice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Me and Molly McGee | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Foie Gras | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asternia | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zeitlos | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jersey Pearl | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wondrous | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evanescence | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovin’ On the Run | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Forty Love | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flyin Private | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tip Toe Joe | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Woodspoint | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Springtown | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He Is Heaven Sent | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Icon | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Santinni | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Munny | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skelly Road | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Matt’s Luck | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run for Gold | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fantasy S.) – Fantasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Explora | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Counting Stars | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sticker Shock | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Search Party | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taken by the Wind | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empath | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | J J’s True Bet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Not for Everyone | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Belle | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Y City | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Sequoia | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honduras Passion | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Cosmopolitan | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sassy Lass | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charmit | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cashmere Baby | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flirtin Again | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polska Sue | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morally Complex | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.