Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | God’s Country | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Guard | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pearcy Road | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Kid of Mine | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mandatory Mission | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Hamazing | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bedazzlingstrategy | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yancopin | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fosforito | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ga Mo Tak (CHI) | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unload | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cobblestone Bridge | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Camp Daddy | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Best | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Man | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tahoe Run | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hightail Cowboy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She Called | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Her Number | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Bluff | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nandina | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Samantha | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximum to Excel | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Volta | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Tornado | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barb | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Mark | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Wish | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chad Allan | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Title Contender | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drill Baby | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Favorite Day | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Drum Roll Please | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inca Empire | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rebelious | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bettera | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hawks Creek | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brittany’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hard to Fathom | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Paper | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Face Value | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rabbit Hound | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Higginsville | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Moon | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phenomenal Dream | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | French Knight | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Gunner | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Cyclone | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Taken On the Run | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arky Road | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Papa Yo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pike Place | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Determinedly | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baxter | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Protonic Power | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Chic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shepherd | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight West | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eglise | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous M | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lundberg | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frack Baby | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chiringo | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nasty Habit | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Aaron | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eli’s Promise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Matron S.) – Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Haulin Ice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zeitlos | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovin’ On the Run | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Asternia | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Me and Molly McGee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Evanescence | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foie Gras | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jersey Pearl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wondrous | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Icon | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Springtown | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forty Love | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flyin Private | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He Is Heaven Sent | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woodspoint | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Matt’s Luck | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Munny | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tip Toe Joe | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skelly Road | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Run for Gold | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Santinni | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fantasy S.) – Fantasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Search Party | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sticker Shock | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taken by the Wind | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Counting Stars | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empath | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Explora | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | J J’s True Bet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Not for Everyone | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sassy Lass | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Sequoia | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Belle | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Very Cosmopolitan | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honduras Passion | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cashmere Baby | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charmit | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polska Sue | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flirtin Again | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morally Complex | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Y City | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.