Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Flash | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indecisiveness | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ashley’s Archer | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Channel | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King d’Oro | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ruse | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paris Surprise | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Cairo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Dancer | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lost and Confused | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Citizen K | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Favorable Scenario | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Themanupfront | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | War Bomber (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lost Money | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Impact | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ovechkin | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sorrentino | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Fact | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Dream | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sovereign Law | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bridgesong | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonstrocity | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Cutler Bay S.) – Cutler Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sheriff Bart | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Immortalised (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Behold the King | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blinging It Back | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Learntodiscover (GB) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blind River | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ababajoni | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knoty Knicks | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Appleton S. Presented By Daily Racing Form) – Appleton S. Presented By Daily Racing Form
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carson’s Run | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of St Louis | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quatrocento | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missed the Cut | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prevent | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beach Gold | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Westside Tide | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nantasket Beach | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tomasello | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy’s Dailys | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eastbostonbenny | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Terrapin Station | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wistucky | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Now | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Peeks | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuymans (BRZ) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thought Control | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roar Ready | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alarik (CHI) | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nothingsubtle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paros | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talbingo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pass the Hat | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magna Time | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sardis | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | X Y Prime | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forty N Five | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Time Willard | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burhan (GB) | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Takecareofbusiness | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Private Thoughts | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Megalodon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ghostzapper S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Ghostzapper S. Presented By Fanduel Tv
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grande | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capital Idea | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cadet Corps | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steal Sunshine | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Tones | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Racing Driver | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Principle | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timeout | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Forged Steel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Orchid S.) – Orchid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bellezza (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ayra Stark (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Shopper | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sultana | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dona Clota (CHI) | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ramsey Pond | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Basking | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Gulfstream Park Oaks Presented By City National Bank) – Gulfstream Park Oaks Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She Be Smooth | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Betty’s Pearl | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prom Queen | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Miss Mo | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Singing | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Haute Diva | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nasti Z | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Sanibel Island S. Presented By Surfside) – Sanibel Island S. Presented By Surfside
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Candy | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Back Ring Buzz | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laigina | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Hideaway (IRE) | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vekoma View | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secane | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Connect the Stars | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tam Tam | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smexy (IRE) | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Landslide | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Army Mule S.) – Army Mule S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scotland | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Music | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Owen Almighty | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concrete Glory | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Back Em Up | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playmea Tune | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack’s Promise | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreaming of Kona | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pentathlon | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rolando | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Sand Springs S.) – Sand Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Rebecca | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Candy Quest | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Moonlight | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashima | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yes It Tiz | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hang the Moon | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queens Command (IRE) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maggie Go (ARG) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fantasy Performer | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Olivia Valentina | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mary Nell | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Pan American S. Presented By Rood & Riddle) – Pan American S. Presented By Rood & Riddle
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Far Bridge | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corruption | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dashman | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Echo Lane | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brotha Keny | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancin in Da’nile | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Il Siciliano | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Soliway (FR) | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Junipero Serra | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Padiddle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa) – Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chief Wallabee | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commandment | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wayne’s Law | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Puma | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nearly | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timeless Victory | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redland Rebels | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gregarious | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Albus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.