Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Way Or Another | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talkin in Cursive | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miranda’s Rocky | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tell Me When | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laura Branigan | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Pack | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adiva | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Balls in Ur Court | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gimme a Chance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Fahrenheit | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Polar Wolf | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Blessed | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Viney | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfectly Harvey | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Denali Lightning | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jonesboogie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Nique | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernardi | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free of Frost | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vekoma’s Diva | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Slew | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stevie Kicks | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Roxy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebecca Jo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bolivia | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roots Tootn | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grayrock Lady | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peaceful Dreams | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trump’s Diamonds | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Temperence Hill S.) – Temperence Hill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Parchment Party | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jokestar | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forged Steel | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tracking Error | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Strike | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Compton | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Noble Affair | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Seven O | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swung | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violence in Red | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Ops | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canned Heat | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McFasty | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rooster J | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trapianto Tom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dawn At Normandy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biloba | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prime Power | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pharaohs Ghost | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tan Chulo | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rip Cord | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Happy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mish | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Practically Dark | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Classic | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hola Joey | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Osbourne | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Tower | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Force | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shape Note | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Worker | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancin for Gold | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Magic | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risk It | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aaron | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart N Soul | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsinmyblood | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Q B Nine | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (American Pharoah Overnight S.) – American Pharoah Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Classic Car Wash | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Publisher | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winnemac Avenue | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timeout | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Power | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Again | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tonka Warrior | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woodcourt | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moe Eighty Eight | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Storm | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viking | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Some Mo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mena | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Couperin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Render Judgment | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B Sudd | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dual Monarchy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Oaklawn Mile S.) – Oaklawn Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Full Serrano (ARG) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nu What’s New | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | East Avenue | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Battle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Aaron | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will Take It | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Party | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neoequos | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kelz | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banksy’s | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Shot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Baby Vino | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Fancy Pants | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleek | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Cat Curlin | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockfest | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bedeviled | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rocky Raccoon | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slobberknocker | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Arkansas Derby) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Renegade | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Tactic | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Litmus Test | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Napoleon Solo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blackout Time | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Redland Rebels | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exosome | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taptastic | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bricklin | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whitley | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Instamania | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seventies Music | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Vekoma Ride | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bemis | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sedalia Trail | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amore | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wolf Tooth | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Own My Destiny | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pistol Padre | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Flat Out | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.