Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Schoolyardsuperman | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epic Summer | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hedge Ratio | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Forty Two | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gallant One | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Military Road | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kismeholdmethrlme | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Trumpet | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solo Empire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fever Night | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tapizar’s Temper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Darty Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Delilah | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Essence L Vee | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maizey Blue | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit Back | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Girl Aubree | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Covert Affair | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Meg’s Foxy Grey | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Frizzante | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Helen’s Revenge | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racing Colors | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Sally | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Dish | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Boy Miah | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gordy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grunge | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Talent | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major Tac | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cold Draft Beer | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Duke | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Levi Warrior | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | B Provocateur | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Mahomie | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reckless Dancer | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Term Premium | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bakuto | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easemyworriedmind | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord King | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Top Flight S.) – Top Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scalable | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Horizon | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernietakescharge | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ourdaydreaminggirl | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Low Country Magic | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snowyte | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Haynesfield S.) – Haynesfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prince Valiant | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Surges | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quick to Accuse | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Russian Realm | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Kraft | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General Banker | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Radio Red | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | National Identity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Smilensaycheese | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.