Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Young Squire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nicole’s King | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amazing Woo | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiempo Perfecto | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Wildcat | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Thirsty Pappy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twenty One Kid | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cattin | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brindisi | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geebert | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Midas | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jewels in the Bay | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome for Sure | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Run Tzu | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sergeant Sinatra | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fastidious | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Compa | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Airman Trevor | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sittin Chilly | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Dosser | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Clint | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chelonian | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melt With You | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expensive Cut | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bestsugardaddyever | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amity Road | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Rewards | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Riley’s Rockstar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coalville | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Encrypt | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roxton | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Honest | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheer Dominance | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Watch Hill | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Exclusive Dancer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Motion | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Lou | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Davola | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What It Tiz | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Coast | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drake Drive | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palace Revolt | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kerner | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run My Card | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Private Cabana | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Addyson’s Dream | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cluck Cluck | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Could Be a Cougar | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mildoon | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snappy Ride | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jump a Fox | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mended We Stand | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Backside Buzz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Heist | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ahsad | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nancy Made My Day | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macaw | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Romantic Gamble | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tojo’s Mojo | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roan Burgundy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Borracho | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nuedorf | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frost Mountain | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Star | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Bob | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Run’s for You | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curious Soul | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coach Knight | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magicnthemoonlight | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chineseiam | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ready for Trouble | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cocktail Humor | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Persian | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonadora Girl | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bailout Billy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caitlin the Great | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Central to Success | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Divine Seeker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Presenceisapresent | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Intentions | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lotta Alpha | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wanna Go Home | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Halory | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inanoceanoflove | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chambourcin | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Prairie Dunes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Talented | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Dream | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Buddy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucchesi | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Blues | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Kid Syd | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Man Bob | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darvesh | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Can Do Magic | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Ramirez | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.