Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gus Swayze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rudi | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hotter Than Dem | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gondorff | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Surfer’s Joy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be Wiser Bob | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Campanero | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rodhan | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Four Guns | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Henry’s Buddy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Star of the Gun | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Scout | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Berry | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soda | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turkish Flame | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lillesand | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Trippin | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlett’s Law | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oasis Prince | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dime Papi | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Song So Sweet | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Your Life | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flag Officer | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fighting Words | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hot Cocoa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harpy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flowerbomb | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zany Lady | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rua | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hope Town Girl | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Banba | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Love Ines | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lazio | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Jack Flash | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carcone | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adversary | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toolpusher | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wasamattafoyou | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Suspiciously Named | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystical Dance | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Man With the Money | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cost of War | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Not Surprised | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Mile Gold | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Do Better | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Drama | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chapita | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coqueta Blue | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toasttothestones | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Rage | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Blue | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Belle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All I Do | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bronze Bullet | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skipping Stars | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trelawny | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zevi’s Zone | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Justin Smiles | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fear | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Losmastix | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stella Bionda | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noche de Damas | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Life | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Steel City Lady | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nyfive | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Rosie | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Only You | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swing Route | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vanish | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.