Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Waggley | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suspicions | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Joe Dude | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Town | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Saiyajin | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fortune King | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autism Honor G | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tigrado | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cross Power | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Call | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edey | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trapped | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Menkaure | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Thread | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Woejee | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | N Z Holly | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosty Mojito | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Traject | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alta Avenue | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nonstop Vino | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Authentic Angel | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whatchatalkinabout | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camp Hale | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spiced Up | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Donut God | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amoudi Bay | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Starry Night | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boltage | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surf City | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hogie the Player | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Phantom Blue | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Diversity | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Only Me | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hypnotica | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Belle | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ships Inn | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Where Luck Lives | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Pinto | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Spirit | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Movie Night | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Daring Move | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bodacious Bay | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laken | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mika’s Way | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grant’s Gretchen | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Braveheart | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Lafayette S.) – Lafayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Knock It Off | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arctic Beast | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble Calling | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oscar’s Hope | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comport | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carson Street | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Sweeper | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Without (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Noble Confessor | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sumood | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | States’ Rights | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mount Horeb | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Rocky Joy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Side Street | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | House United | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Bourbon for Toby | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bite and Strike | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Domingo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Thomas | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Freedom | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Protective | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Dover Specter | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Start Mo Up | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Middleground Capital Beaumont S.) – Middleground Capital Beaumont S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sneaky Good | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Fine Chardonnay | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Bluffing | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baracca | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingsolver | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wrong Shoes | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Connect | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Uk Healthcare Transylvania S.) – Uk Healthcare Transylvania S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Remember Mamba | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proton | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vasy (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honey Dutch | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Beast | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Dynasty | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Attfield | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zeppelin | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ganaas | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aces Honor | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time for America | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Central Bank Ashland S.) – Central Bank Ashland S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zany | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Percy’s Bar | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Friction | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Actress | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omaha Bay | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nycon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hollybygolly | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Democracy Defender | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prize Pick | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heading | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Epic Horsepower | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon’s Law | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Obelus | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Newman | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Supercharger | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ravenous | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Tilson | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Bonus | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Charmer | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drop Shot | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Telecaster | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | In America | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fatguyinlittlecoat | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.