Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luck Lucky (IRE) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Throwthefirstpunch | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Sea | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jetway | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sigma Boy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scorching Hot | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Another Juanito | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saturday | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Audible Silence | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bretts Acclaim | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsnotrocket | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nickdaboss | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astronomer | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Padre (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo Spirit | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hiding in Honduras | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Oriente (CHI) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Bev | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darlin’ Duchess | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can You Dream | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lively Girl | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Christine | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Hearted | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grape Juice Too | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midway Lane | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fausto | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight Back | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Both Sides of Bad | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Bagger | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Ice | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Missile Cruiser | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Syntax | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Molly Jensen | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’tdealwithit | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Subtle Knowledge | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Virginia | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep the Pavels | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Gemini Jewel | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | All in the Game | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jennys Wine Girl | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Light | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warm Reception | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mperfection | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sandy Bee | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G’oro | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Mischief | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Judy Lynn Starr | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Joint Venture | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duran | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leyas Candy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So I’m Told | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Druidic | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Ride | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballyhooligan | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Kai | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Anmer Hall | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Virat | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proof He Rides | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Son of a Birch | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s to Blame | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dhitjari (GB) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Hope | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War At Sea | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Balladeer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Um | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mischief River | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.