Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luck Lucky (IRE) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Throwthefirstpunch | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scorching Hot | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Sea | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sigma Boy | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jetway | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saturday | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Audible Silence | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Juanito | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsnotrocket | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nickdaboss | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bretts Acclaim | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Padre (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo Spirit | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hiding in Honduras | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astronomer | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Oriente (CHI) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Darlin’ Duchess | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Bev | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can You Dream | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grape Juice Too | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Christine | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lively Girl | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Hearted | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sand Bagger | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Both Sides of Bad | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fight Back | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fausto | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missile Cruiser | 50.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Ice | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midway Lane | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Can’tdealwithit | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Molly Jensen | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Virginia | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Subtle Knowledge | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Syntax | 1.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Gemini Jewel | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep the Pavels | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | All in the Game | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jennys Wine Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mperfection | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warm Reception | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Mischief | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sandy Bee | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Judy Lynn Starr | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G’oro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | First Light | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | So I’m Told | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duran | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leyas Candy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Druidic | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joint Venture | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Kai | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballyhooligan | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Ride | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Virat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s to Blame | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Um | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Balladeer | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Hope | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War At Sea | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of a Birch | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dhitjari (GB) | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proof He Rides | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Anmer Hall | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mischief River | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
