Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Munnings Express | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intentious | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paula’s a Star | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kadena | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Geez Eloise | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Music | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Resilience | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sacrosanct | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Factor U and Me In | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soze | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Porosity | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Native | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Excelsior S.) – Excelsior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classicist | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yo Daddy | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stowaway | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Otello | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Interceptor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Omaha | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Over and Ollie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chillax | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Nelson | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waitlist | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tariff Mindset | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Georgia Magic | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Founders | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fact | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Early On | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetest Princess | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lika Rolling Stone | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ah Ca Ira | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast and Frisky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Valtellina | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | She’s Grand | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Carter S. Presented By Nyra Bets) – Carter S. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rated by Merit | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Book’em Danno | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be You | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point Dume | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acoustic Ave | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quint’s Brew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mitole’s Girl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rogue Justice | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blenheim Baby | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | That’s Funny | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn’s Turn | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gregorian Solo | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hauntress | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Danneel | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dolce Sera | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amity Island | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Current Climate | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Morlock | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Willintoriskitall | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Refuah | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cocktailsnkringle | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Empire | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Turn and Count | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fiddling Felix | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leftembehind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Adventurist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Incentive Pay | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Strength | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pair of Socks | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Andy | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sansone | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trust Fund | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ambition | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Braciole | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mary’s Lad (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Distaff S.) – Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Immersive | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jody’s Pride | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grammy Girl | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold Your Breath | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takethemoneyhoney | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Boutwell Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | With the Angels | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lucille Ball | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Gazelle S.) – Gazelle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paradise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nycon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always a Runner | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pashmina | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Hall | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Bits | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baffle | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slow Kara | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Gossip | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino) – Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Napoleon Solo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Iron Honor | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Buetane | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talk to Me Jimmy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bravaro | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steel | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ocelli | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courting | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minorinconvenience | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Albus | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Right to Party | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Zone Runner | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ottinho | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.