Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tapstick | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conn Smythe (GB) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | San Martin | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Bid | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Punk | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One More Duke | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Money Tour | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Foolish Notion | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Cow | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Animated | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tululo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Sweet Girl | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meilani | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call the Bullpen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spinelli | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reina Del Viento | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oscar Bound | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Musical Power | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Nina | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tie It With a Bow | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baronia | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Wicked Hot | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Affluenza | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jadacaquiva | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lodato | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Navy Jack (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nano Man | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loud Applause | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Muheet | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bucchero’s Dude | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Run | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Cloud | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Direction | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Versailles Road | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Likeness | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senor Roberto | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Guava (FR) | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth an Easy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whine Country | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mattingly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Bomber (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Extendo | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Asher’s Edge | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Okiro | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Test Factor | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xy Speed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Society’s Thunder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Esperon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Masseto (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maitre D | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Readier | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinetic Stone | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breezer | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hottakejake | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Fixer | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Banneker | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | No Evidence | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pajaro | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Teddy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quizler | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Banded Rocket | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Time Passes | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuoco Vivo | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masayoshi | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coffee At K J’s | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Front End | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Humor Me Brother | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muffin Music | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roxy | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foggy Note | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Dream Lady | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girvin Star | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Junegenai | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vivi Get Your Guns | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Operation Torch | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laser | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back in the Saddle | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giuro | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calvino | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intolerable | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Cruiser | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antonino | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bob | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.