Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Plaza Cue | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick to Charm | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Episist | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delicious Diva | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Ella | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charted Destiny | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | You Vee Cee | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burlsworth | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stuck N Snow | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chez Whiz | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Dominator | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Socks | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allo Enry | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Vision | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miri a Coincidence | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hero’s Medal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastside Cool | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Thunderer | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treble Clef | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Empire | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gasoline | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icarus | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mowins | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ace Jack Deuce | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palmer Beach | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scuffle | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin At Mac | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Point | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Start Out | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gun Bolt | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out Flat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty’s Champion | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astro Beau | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yellow Brick | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trouble Ahead | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lebombo | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lear | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Batter Up | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mazing Mark | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calycanthus | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skyler | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magna Tap | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mercy Warren | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What’s Crackin | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Fury | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jeri Dawn | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singing Emma | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Payton’s Beauty | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lilly Mae | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Smart With Heart | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spite Lite | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Riobella | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wreaking Havoc | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia On E’smind | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galoshes | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Insightful Miss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Well Aware | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hideki | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Dreamer | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lover Girl | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Icy River | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Key to Success | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | End of Innocence | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Rose | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Bash | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bohemian Bo | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touchdown Arkansas | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raymond | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Vince | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Wellington | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Invulnerable | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Got Excited | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blue Squall | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Arlington | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Concert | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flash Wear | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anakarina | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liuzza | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delacina | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Popperina | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clique | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Austrian Navy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Demidanu | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Rainbow S.) – Rainbow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strollsmischief | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seventies Music | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Instamania | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extract’s Arrow | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sioux Empire | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Trick | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Henry Oliver | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cattle Baron | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arco Thunder | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Martini Blu | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dutch Mills | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Waco | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secured Lender | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Montana Cafe | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amundson | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ceepeegee | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Optimal Courage | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Good Scout | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Premium | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger Town | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Table Money | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Bryan | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool and Cloudy | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.