Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bear’s Board | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’ Em Down | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Still Unwritten | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmic Heat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Happen | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marjoram | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Struck By Her (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Bay | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Santarena | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Comedy Town | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Its a Cinch | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For All Mankind | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deer District | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crude Velocity | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | March of Time | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Winston Ave | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Shreve | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yautown | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duke Silver | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raikkonen | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bull Tiz | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Koko | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Echo Eddie S. Presented By Daily Racing Form) – Echo Eddie S. Presented By Daily Racing Form
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sammy Davis | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Rebel | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fionello | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galloping Ghost | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Melodee | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy Norris | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Russells Hustle | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pioneer Prince | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ah Jeez | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vantastic | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hotrocket (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cathal (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zalamo (FR) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maniatic (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J T’s Watch | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Don’t Swear Dave | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Santa Anita Oaks Presented By Surfside) – Santa Anita Oaks Presented By Surfside
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hypergamy | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meaning | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Blue | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Blonde | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forced Entry | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank Shot | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Cherry | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eugene Sledge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Doing Time | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Booked Clubhouse | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oracle of Paradise | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halninethousand | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Vengeance | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gaines | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tight Dally | 10.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passion D Oro | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Farmer Tom | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Evening Jewel S. Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Evening Jewel S. Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Another Zero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mohaven | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cecilia Street | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Sassy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cee Drew | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapatia Mia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lino’s Angel | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donttellmewhattodo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warm Sun and Brew | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stylishlyacclaimed | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of Dragons | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Please Focus | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highplainsdrifter | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Call Me Sir | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freeport Joe | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed of Elon | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sabertooth | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Dolce | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zagreus | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cullen J | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Santa Anita Derby) – Santa Anita Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Potente | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Happy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intrepido | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robusta | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vitruvian Man | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Nation | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Start the Ride | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Monrovia S. Presented By Don Julio) – Monrovia S. Presented By Don Julio
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen Maxima | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princesa Moche (PER) | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amorita | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sareeha (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirited Boss | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tirupati | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Appeals | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 11 | Greys Over Bays | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cortina d’Amprezzo (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Somerset West | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silkie Sevei (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Society U | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Peppermint Dash | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Maddog | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whatastarr (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin At Diamond | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Daring Pursuit | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Subatomic Law | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Amor Secreto | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | Decisive Deception | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Thriving Autism | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
