Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Respected Mind | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waggley | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frontline Fury | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smoke | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Techwerkian | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Life | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fizzypopberrytwist | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Excessive Violence | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Aubrey’s Max | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Deal | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trew Violence | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mischief Mania | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guardian | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jus Too Fly | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Il Cavallino | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sully | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Urban Ruler | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nassau Circle | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Ruler | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Empire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Prototype | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kapoor | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nilo’s Rose | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amarth | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Switch | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord I Wonder | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liam in the Dust | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just an Opinion | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo Biscuit | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Expecto Patronum | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oath | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fresh Out | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Rainbow | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Miss | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luck of the Day | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peggie Castle | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lexi’s Melody | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cuvee Creed | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flash N Dash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Theismann | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dresden Row | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Integration | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Andthewinneris | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Idratherbeblessed | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nelson Avenue | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Strike | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Emerald Spun | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dad’s Two Sense | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Hen Chick | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polly Darling | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash of Freedom | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | East Bay | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Answered Prayers | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wujood | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shestallthatsall | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fire Moon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love You Anyway | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Molly B | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J N J Heartandsoul | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poema | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Attitude | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Holiday | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icona (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love and Poetry | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Kitty Boom | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Funs Lil Sis | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Horsetron Supreme | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tobin Lee | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Brass | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Go | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Versed | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Twist | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Audible | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sharons Beach | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vino Subito | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General Graham | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Is Okay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Hooligan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.