Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skara Brae | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruiva | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crossfire | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Fete | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle With Money | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zee R One | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Nora | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gates of Eden | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sharing Wisdom (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Gus’s Gal | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Queen McKinzie | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Zest | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Click | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Space | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lexico | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hylla | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dodecahedron | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bugs Malone | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crown of Violence | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mariposa Moon | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Empress | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Denise Says No | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rotisserie | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voluntold | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flame Dancer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Scorecard | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danzig’s Dora | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yume | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Viral Plane Lady | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fourfiftyseven | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashkenazi | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trust Account | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amberglen (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tideoftime | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | White Smoke | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luster | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backgammon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Huck’s Agenda | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Callmeyourmajesty | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mother Green | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Philly Slide | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Miracle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Crescent | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hickman Creek | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fourth Dimension | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spartacus | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maginnesontap | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stakeholder | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bearister | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kokomotion | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | May Gray | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three to G | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Soloist | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | East Jabip (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petronella | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Time | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rhythm Lady | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Minute | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Beretta | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Majestical | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go to Girl | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Precious | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Chill | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queenstown | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Azteca | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Risk Tolerance (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | McRavin | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reagan’s Wit | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Again | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mountain Bear (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fond Farewell | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ejtimaa | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simulate | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Joejoe Go | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tough Little Nut | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokey Smokey | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Esmark | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pineland | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Special Caliber | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cairo Caper | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | End of Romance (IRE) | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Merry Madison | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Haleakala | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onmywaytosavthday | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Authentic Angel | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Lady | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Red Royalty | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Brave Samantha | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | But Seriously | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ride the Broom | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Formaggio | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhaenys | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mamarsha | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carol’s Melody | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zafyre | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Watch | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.