Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Fete | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle With Money | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skara Brae | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crossfire | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zee R One | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruiva | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gates of Eden | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Nora | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sharing Wisdom (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mariposa Moon | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hylla | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Zest | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bugs Malone | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Click | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Denise Says No | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dodecahedron | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crown of Violence | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Voluntold | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rotisserie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Space | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Queen McKinzie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gus’s Gal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lexico | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Little Empress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flame Dancer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danzig’s Dora | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Scorecard | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Viral Plane Lady | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ashkenazi | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fourfiftyseven | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yume | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amberglen (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tideoftime | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backgammon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Callmeyourmajesty | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mother Green | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luster | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | White Smoke | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trust Account | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | South Philly Slide | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Huck’s Agenda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maginnesontap | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Crescent | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bearister | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fourth Dimension | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spartacus | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hickman Creek | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stakeholder | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Miracle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | East Jabip (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petronella | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Soloist | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | May Gray | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Minute | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rhythm Lady | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Time | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three to G | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Beretta | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kokomotion | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go to Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Precious | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queenstown | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Chill | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestical | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Azteca | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Risk Tolerance (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mountain Bear (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McRavin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Again | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reagan’s Wit | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simulate | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Esmark | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ejtimaa | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pineland | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cairo Caper | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tough Little Nut | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smokey Smokey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Special Caliber | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Joejoe Go | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fond Farewell | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | End of Romance (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Haleakala | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Merry Madison | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Formaggio | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rhaenys | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Lady | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carol’s Melody | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onmywaytosavthday | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ride the Broom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brave Samantha | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zafyre | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Watch | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Red Royalty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | But Seriously | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Authentic Angel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mamarsha | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.