Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Candy Addiction | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crown Seeker | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Power | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kukuk | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Numinous | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jaker | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Van Cleef | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twice Enticed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Fox | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sovereign Grace | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tut’s Revenge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Slide Park | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lou the Body | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Cha Cha | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Control | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fredericksburg | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Humor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Other Level | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vino’s Valentine | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Walk the Night | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Wonder | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tybee Echo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Action Delight | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mas Que Nada | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Great Empire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Starship Jay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Act a Fool | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mythical Man | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palazzi | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Mo Town | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Junction Road | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky’s Not Falling | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liz Loves Shopping | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Game Energy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winrooski | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mithril | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Jak | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vanishing Wish | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Likely Perspective (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Sunday | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ave Fenix | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Collected Dreams | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Finding Candy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Noir | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leo’s Rocket | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supreme Honor | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win N Win | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Rapido | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back Nine Stakes | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Get the Win | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Check the Grade | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rogue Runner | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’mwishingonastar | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aerialist | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lindsay Smiles | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetster | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Actually | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Gamer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thankfully | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royally Blue | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizasweetlady | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucy’s Cookie | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clay Soldier | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corbet’s Crush | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divinely Inspired | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | St. Emilion | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Sun | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Legend | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wordondastreet | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sigfrid | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cuban Cowboy | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zephyros | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thunder Roll | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Melody Man | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.