Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strike Ridge | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zippy Mark | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Dollar Eddie | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Moon | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dinner At Crumpies | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Sky | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Underhill’s Tab | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Commerce | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Liam | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mumayaz | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Racarino | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flipping Fish | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Premium | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift as I Am | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Bryan | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lea Me Be | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black White N Gold | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Clear Echo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bote | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | More Power | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Under Fire | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Fired Up | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled’s Heir | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Getoutyourwallet | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butch | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Peel | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castle Gap | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Capital Connection | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nyquist Frequency | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Historic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Stop Willis | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highway Patrol | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lower Broadway | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maxxus | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tims | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greystar | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Catalina Gold | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | World Fair | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Whiskey | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jester Sang | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Music | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joewilly | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ripple’s Rocket | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dawson James | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Convolution | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rapid Return | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midshakin | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stillbilly | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Improbability | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bowlfulloflemons | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Arthur’s Court | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Publicity | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Joker | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aerate | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Texas Cyclone | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Leonardo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Happy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gold Gunner | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Money Mo | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holus Bolus | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | After Party | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rynotograce | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Syndicate | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feral | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Cowboy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Centerline | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Jo Jo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Machado | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone County | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Mortal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Payne | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Holiday House | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ravin’s Town | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Juilliard | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Innova | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bron and Brow | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Konteekee | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gee No Hollander | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightning Struck | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Machine Gun Man | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Go West | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzlemesilver | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aero Star | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Master Mule | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hymn | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eli’s Promise | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Me a Song | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Jalen Run | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon’s Fault | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gettinby | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Risk It | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pride’s Prince | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Innovator | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drewvictory | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Ridge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Igniting Embers | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Humorous Saint | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Arkansas Dave | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eminent Cat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Tater | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Go Ro Ro | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Blessed | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Arctic | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Perfectly Harvey | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gloryland Band | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bernardi | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Steel Thunder | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruly’s Street | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.