Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queen McKinzie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lexico | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | West Coast Dream | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Galatina | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Skater | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Knockonwood | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nuts and Bolts | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starbrite Starlite | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buckeye Bombshell | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beale Street Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dispersion | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roundingthird | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cardinal Union | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Next Time | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | September Silver | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Soul | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Mug | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Janey’s Flyin | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In the Tank | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Standard Deduction | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wild Cotton | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Amador | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gentleman Jim | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Race for Cover | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Usain Th (URU) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King of Hollywood | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fountain Run | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eye Dee Kay | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope Joe’s Right | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tres Soles | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Minister | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Non Fungible | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Run | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rockin Robin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Once Upon a Time | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willowy | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pinto | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mon Reve | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cookie’s Run | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Island Barbie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shewontbudge | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bella Darling | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Comprehensive | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Factor | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Provider | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minotaur | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Newman | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Underappreciated | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wrathchild | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Still Sober | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bhatia | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ur Benja | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tilson | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quiet Mischief | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Strike | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Warrior | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Excite | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Malibu | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Original Sin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Septarian | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard as Life | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Noble Confessor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rocky Joy | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sicilian Defense | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arkhipov | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Apophis | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love’m Or Liam | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cinister Cix | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master of Light | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ciro di Marzio | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lets Shance It | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Right Timing | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Al Ghadeer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haywinii | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Our Ten | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Passion | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah’s Affair | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Rascasse | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Epic Proud Mary | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arcana | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose of San Antone | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Belle | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Jenny Wiley S.) – Jenny Wiley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Medoro | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expensive Queen (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Segesta | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pin Up Betty | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Pricing (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Satin | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aussie Girl (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Market | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Destino d’Oro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lush Lips (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stonestreet Lexington S.) – Stonestreet Lexington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Confessional | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corona de Oro | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trendsetter | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Hell We Did | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I Did I Did | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister T | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exhibition Only | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ezum | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblin | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decisive Win | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Enforced Agenda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heeere’s Johnny | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Honors | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | West End Kid | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starmetal | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soulman | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Terre Haute | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Penn Star | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sharons Angels | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coordinator | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Guard | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Edzo Said So | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mush Carey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
