Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Mo Muffins | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Picnic | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shenadoah Sunrise | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knickoletta | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stylish Gem | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Only Maria | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Good Girl | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Estocada | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perugia | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buckin’ Right | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bond’s Belle | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Instagrand Girl | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Leader | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Railroad Inn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitty’s Son | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quahog Republic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twelve Nelson | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Furious George | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knucker Punk | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Friend Lou | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Could Be a Cougar | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Watch Your Tone | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Averie Lynn | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Book of Wisdom | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sapphire Beauty | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always Forward | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bjorn | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Minister | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Maker | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enough Already | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dats My Pharaoh | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lucked In | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rapidity | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Alex | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strategist | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Home Invasion | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sincerito | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prado Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suremeanttoobe | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Thunder | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Radical Right | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodbye Note | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Flame | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tenebris | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karan’s Notion | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Wait Up | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paco the Taco Man | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All the Hardways | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cut Glass | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Master | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Accelerate | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lure Him In | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J D Factor | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Charges On | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adero | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Road | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crossland | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Fleet | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dairago (FR) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Latin Rebel | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Vibes | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Owhatanite | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Your Mission | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hyteck Prince | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.