Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Mo Muffins | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Good Girl | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stylish Gem | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shenadoah Sunrise | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knickoletta | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Only Maria | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Picnic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Estocada | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bond’s Belle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perugia | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buckin’ Right | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Instagrand Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Leader | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twelve Nelson | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitty’s Son | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quahog Republic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Railroad Inn | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Furious George | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knucker Punk | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Friend Lou | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | R Averie Lynn | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Could Be a Cougar | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Watch Your Tone | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Book of Wisdom | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sapphire Beauty | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always Forward | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Minister | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bjorn | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strategist | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapidity | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dats My Pharaoh | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enough Already | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucked In | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Home Invasion | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Alex | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Maker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sincerito | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prado Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suremeanttoobe | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Thunder | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Flame | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodbye Note | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Radical Right | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tenebris | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karan’s Notion | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Wait Up | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paco the Taco Man | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All the Hardways | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Master | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cut Glass | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Accelerate | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indy Charges On | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adero | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J D Factor | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lure Him In | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Road | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crossland | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Fleet | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dairago (FR) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Vibes | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hyteck Prince | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Latin Rebel | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Owhatanite | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Your Mission | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.