Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rules and Regs | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Isadora Duncan (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River Empress | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eat Hay Run | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Use Me (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joke Maker | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Story | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | High Street Pizzaz | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Beauty | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yaudacity | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Escape | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tulip | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Senior Officer | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Long Pour | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucius Verus | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sargent Sully | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bring the Smoke | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Uncle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Competitive Market | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sy B | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vronti (GB) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Secretary | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jalila | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ensorcell | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sunshine Daydream | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Surrender | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gigi’s World | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jerseys Parade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sweet Molly B | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Canterbury Lane | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Oraia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Backside | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Rog | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stoic Sage | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flash of Chaos | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Al Amjaad | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Reveille | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tregetour | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shirley’s Boyz | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pass and Go | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Whatever | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Grandeur | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Circle the Storm | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hard Circle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pay Heed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Munnings Talks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Core Memories | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Birch Run | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Empress New Groove | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Tell Anne | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | How About Now | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evangalina | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Empress Sisi | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ez Connect | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Sybil | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uptown Caroline | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Oaks Street | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beach Ballad | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Landed | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pahoehoe d’Oro | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gowells Delight | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Omaha | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foreseen | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Giant’s Causeway S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Giant’s Causeway S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Saturday Flirt | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlene’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Our Time | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shining Star (CHI) | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian Mau (SAF) | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love Cervere | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Movin’ On Up | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Time to Dazzle | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Creed’s Gold | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Saratoga Special (IRE) | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pondering | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Big Trouble | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gratefully | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Me Governor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tempting Eve | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Civil Liberty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Criteria | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Associated | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Vaggio | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Market Runner | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Symbol | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iconoclast | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo the Merrier | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Beijing | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Iron Man Cal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Mischief | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | End of Romance (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Little Nut | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Megalodon | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Harvest | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capitol Hill | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Joejoe Go | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Caliber | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tenacious Leader | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pitkin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.