Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tizntshelovely | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Not a Joke | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rando | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kissin Riches | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Pippa | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jaydensqueenoharts | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aintnoshakin Kid | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Avery County | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miracle Minded | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Chocolatte | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Den | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battisto | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Back Nine | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valeska’s Promise | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprising Love | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mula | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Cane Crain | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Worthy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Globalist | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seminole Man | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super McKinzie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magamak | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surfin’ M | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prayforpeace | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gee No Hollander | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eternally Grateful | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boat Song | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Link | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kunshan Bridge | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vdaytothetenacious | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Gold | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Saving Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brass Nucks | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buck O Five | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dawson James | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midshakin | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Gold | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stauf | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Ryder | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet On Tiz | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bernardi | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Rushfire | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bachelor Party | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Words | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hello Angel | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Call | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cryptic Miss | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Kiss | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cachinnation | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Clancy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Amanda | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | First Hill | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Bossy Lady | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Krispy Rice | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call’em All | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wreaking Havoc | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sultry Kitten | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Factor That | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Rules | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Creative | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart With Heart | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen of Salsa | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Neutralize | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Street Painter | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Woopig | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Principal Anita | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Mallard | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Strategy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Astrid | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C. C. Harbor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stephanie Starfish | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Y City | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woodruff | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melania T | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ngala | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | J J’s True Bet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Sequoia | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximum to Excel | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caroom’s Croupier | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honduras Passion | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charmit | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morally Complex | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Sadie | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Lass | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pirulita | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.