Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s Not a Joke | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizntshelovely | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rando | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kissin Riches | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aintnoshakin Kid | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Pippa | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jaydensqueenoharts | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Chocolatte | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avery County | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miracle Minded | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Den | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battisto | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valeska’s Promise | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprising Love | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Back Nine | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Candy Cane Crain | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Globalist | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mula | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Worthy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magamak | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surfin’ M | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super McKinzie | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seminole Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vdaytothetenacious | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eternally Grateful | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Link | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prayforpeace | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boat Song | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gee No Hollander | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Gold | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kunshan Bridge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dawson James | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buck O Five | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brass Nucks | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saving Heart | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Ryder | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midshakin | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet On Tiz | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Gold | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bernardi | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stauf | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Rushfire | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Good Call | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bachelor Party | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Amanda | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cachinnation | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Words | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cryptic Miss | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Kiss | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Clancy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hello Angel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Krispy Rice | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Bossy Lady | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sultry Kitten | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Rules | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Hill | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call’em All | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Neutralize | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen of Salsa | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Creative | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart With Heart | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factor That | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wreaking Havoc | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lady Woopig | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Strategy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Painter | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Mallard | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Principal Anita | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Astrid | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C. C. Harbor | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stephanie Starfish | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woodruff | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ngala | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Y City | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melania T | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | J J’s True Bet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Sequoia | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morally Complex | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximum to Excel | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Lass | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charmit | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Sadie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caroom’s Croupier | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honduras Passion | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pirulita | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.