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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shot At Perfection 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Getting Closer 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Nightmare Fuel 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Poppy Woppy 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Twirlaway 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 In for a Spin 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Joker’s Chic 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Zamina 4.00 2 4-1
9 9 Pot’s Right 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Peak Perspective 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Rush Hour 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Lack of Riesling 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Baytown Ona 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Vasha 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Autism Honor G 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kavod 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Inexorable 3.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Honky Tonk Highway 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Tuskegee Airmen 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Scat Free 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Eye Witness 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Smoken Boy 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’m Trouble 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 McCann 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Caragogo 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Rose Ruler 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Sedona Spirit 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Ink Lies 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Zap d’Etat 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Dismiss 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Big Blue Notion 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 She’s No Angel 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Black Ginger 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Wild Acclaim 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Spotaway 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Couldyoubeloved 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mombayla 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Footnote 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Brooklyn Can Dance 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gypsy Art 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Jubilee Parade 3.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Fuzzy Stare 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Taterpie 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Himothy 8.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Inordinary 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Catch Hound 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Feline Curious 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Outofpi 30.00 10 19-1
9 9 Triple Max 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rothko 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Fact 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 3 Roger Roger 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Sweetalkingbourbon 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Alston 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Coalmoon 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Child of the Moon (FR) 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Austere 4.50 2 4-1
12 12 Sweet Treasure 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 She’s Lookin Lucky 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Zadorsky 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Smiling Ellie 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Settling Storm 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Distant Winter (SAF) 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Sanctify 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 She’s All Charm 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 La Marinera 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Peak Popularity 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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