Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ramiel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coalville | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Can Do Magic | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Real Talented | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Motion | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Evasive Moves | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Lou | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kuz It’s Chilly | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exclusive Dancer | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roxton | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hey Buddy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lookin Wild | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Encrypt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Goldieness | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Dancer | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sundria | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Bernardini | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ree Nee’s Six | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Misspent | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Never Sway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pure Realization | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny Magic | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whoosh | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carry Grant | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chartage | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parlay for Destiny | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chelsea Wall | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Umbral | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Philly | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rowsie Express | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo’s Vino Mesa | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomarie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Solo in Paris | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Possum | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morethanafeeling | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sams After Party | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cap Steak Robbery | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Z Storm Is Coming | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reverse the Curse | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Deivys | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Persian | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Purple | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Awe of Juju | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Than Grace | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wanna Go Home | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Halory | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shubagail | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Byebyejealouseye | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trust Issues | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tunisian Spring | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskeyromeosierra | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Dude | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Try Harder | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chance | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Warrior | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Flowers | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Million | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beyondexpectations | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regalpains | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bravely | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willisau | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Young Squire | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Book Runner | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pardsy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dither | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Persistent Danger | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catire Vizcaya | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlins Cruzin | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Romantic Gamble | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Genius | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Time Tested | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chip’s Friend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Clever Tiger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.