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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 16, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Delilah 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 No Reserve 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Bankable 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 My Girl Aubree 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Blue 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tiffany’s Gem 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Vivienna 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Centavo 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Laughing Boy 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Unbridled Bomber 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 He’s Got This 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hey Toby 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sharp Spark 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sounds Like Fun 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Uncle Barrie 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Noguchi 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Admiral Indy 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Reign It In 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Big Brooklyn 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dixie Hex 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Final Joke 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’m Very Sweet 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Amended Dreamer 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Beneficence 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bourbon Betty 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Liam’s Diva 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mermaid 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Pay the Bills (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 No Difference 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Angels Envy 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Battle Winner 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wakemeforchampagne 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Academia 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Pomerance 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Majestic Moonlight 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tax Holiday (GB) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 N. Y. Finest 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wamo 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Love Coin 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 B Thedonald 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Stickupwithoutagun 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Anyway 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Quick Power Nap 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Highway Harmony 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Redwineandwhiskey 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Long Legged Queen 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 One Last Knock 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fifi La Fume 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Olivia’s Grace 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Timia 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Sunshine Lily 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tenacious Child 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Trading Trouble 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Greyjoy 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sugartown Sweetie 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Hanna’s Hideaway 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Fairweatherlover 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Miss Apples 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Take Charge Smarty 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Gotta Gun Runner 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Ticket to Ride 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mama Rock Me 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Big Jackie 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Enterprisingly 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 All of It 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Neeka 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Force of Mischief 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Island Charm 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bernina Express 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Morning Prayer 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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