Site icon Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 16, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 She’s Bankable 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Delilah 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 No Reserve 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 My Girl Aubree 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Tiffany’s Gem 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Midnight Blue 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Vivienna 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sharp Spark 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Hey Toby 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Laughing Boy 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 He’s Got This 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Centavo 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Unbridled Bomber 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Noguchi 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sounds Like Fun 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Final Joke 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Reign It In 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Admiral Indy 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Uncle Barrie 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dixie Hex 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Big Brooklyn 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mermaid 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 I’m Very Sweet 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Liam’s Diva 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bourbon Betty 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Amended Dreamer 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Pay the Bills (FR) 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Beneficence 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Academia 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Angels Envy 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Tax Holiday (GB) 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 No Difference 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Majestic Moonlight 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Wakemeforchampagne 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Battle Winner 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Pomerance 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wamo 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Love Coin 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 B Thedonald 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Stickupwithoutagun 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 N. Y. Finest 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Anyway 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Last Knock 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Highway Harmony 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Trading Trouble 4.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Olivia’s Grace 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Long Legged Queen 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Greyjoy 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tenacious Child 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Fifi La Fume 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Redwineandwhiskey 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Sugartown Sweetie 12.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Quick Power Nap 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Timia 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sunshine Lily 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Morning Prayer 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Ticket to Ride 6.00 2.5 5-1
12 12 Hanna’s Hideaway 20.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Island Charm 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Fairweatherlover 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Bernina Express 6.00 3.3 6-1
14 14 Gotta Gun Runner 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Mama Rock Me 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 All of It 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Take Charge Smarty 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Enterprisingly 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Miss Apples 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Big Jackie 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Neeka 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Force of Mischief 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version